SD Gernika vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1999 |
OSA
3 - 0
GER
47%
28%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
GER
0 - 2
ATH
29%
29%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
GER
2 - 1
LEM
44%
30%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
AUR
3 - 0
GER
46%
28%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GER
1 - 3
TRO
57%
26%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 0
LEM
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 2
VAL
48%
28%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CUL
0 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
UBC
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |