SD Gernika vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 2
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PON
0 - 1
GER
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GER
0 - 1
AUR
39%
30%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 1
GER
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
ALA
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 3
PON
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AUR
4 - 1
SPB
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SPB
0 - 1
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ALA
0 - 1
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
SPB
2 - 1
ATH
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |