Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-7
SD Gernika vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 1
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
GER
5 - 0
CDG
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
LAR
0 - 1
GER
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BAR
6 - 1
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
GER
0 - 0
SSC
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 1
PUE
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
RAY
3 - 0
CUL
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CAD
2 - 0
RAY
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
RAY
1 - 0
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |