SD Gernika vs Rayo Majadahonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FUE
4 - 2
GER
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
ALB
11%
23%
67%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
RUN
21%
27%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Majadahonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAJ
2 - 0
SDA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RUN
2 - 0
MAJ
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAJ
3 - 3
RSO
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RMC
0 - 1
MAJ
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAJ
3 - 0
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |