SD Gernika vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NOJ
1 - 0
GER
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GER
0 - 3
TAL
34%
29%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -3 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
GIM
0 - 1
GER
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
GER
2 - 0
RAC
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ALA
1 - 0
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ZAR
20%
28%
52%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
NOJ
1 - 1
PEÑ
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CDT
19%
28%
53%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
TAL
4 - 1
PEÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
UBC
29%
28%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |