Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-4
SD Gernika vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
48%
28%
24%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GER
1 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ARE
0 - 1
GER
57%
25%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GER
3 - 1
IZA
79%
16%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
GER
44%
31%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 0
ELC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
DEP
4 - 1
OSA
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |