SD Gernika vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GER
0 - 1
OSA
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SES
3 - 2
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
RAC
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 2
GER
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NAX
0 - 1
ARE
21%
26%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
OSA
2 - 0
NAX
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAX
0 - 3
SJU
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SES
2 - 0
NAX
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 1
RSO
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |