SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
ALB
11%
23%
67%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
RUN
21%
27%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RSO
4 - 0
GER
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
RMC
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 3
SDA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RUN
2 - 1
LEI
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 0
RSO
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 0
LEI
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
CDM
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |