SD Gernika vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
75.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GER
0 - 2
UFC
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
GER
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
IZA
47%
27%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TUD
3 - 2
GER
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GER
1 - 2
SES
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 1
PON
51%
26%
22%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
IBI
0 - 2
LEG
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 0
RAC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 1
CDT
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 1
LEG
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |