SD Gernika vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
ATH
8%
20%
73%
|
32 | 87 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SOD
1 - 4
GER
16%
25%
59%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
BFC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
BAS
15%
22%
64%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CDU
0 - 1
LON
50%
26%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RET
3 - 1
LON
26%
28%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LON
1 - 2
OIA
35%
27%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
LON
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |