SD Gernika vs CD Elgoibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
RUN
0 - 1
GER
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
OSA
1 - 1
GER
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
GER
0 - 0
VAL
41%
29%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
BEA
2 - 0
GER
48%
28%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
GER
0 - 0
LOG
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
CD Elgoibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ELG
0 - 1
AND
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
SDA
1 - 1
ELG
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ELG
8 - 0
LAU
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ARE
0 - 2
ELG
21%
28%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ELG
2 - 0
CDU
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |