Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-8
SD Gernika vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
GER
0 - 0
BKE
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
EIB
0 - 1
GER
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
GER
0 - 2
LON
65%
22%
14%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
EIB
2 - 1
GER
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
GER
1 - 1
RUN
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LON
5 - 0
ALA
48%
28%
25%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ALA
3 - 2
LEM
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
SDE
2 - 2
ALA
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
ALA
0 - 1
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
CDM
0 - 0
ALA
49%
28%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |