SD Gernika vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
GER
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
CDO
23%
30%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PON
0 - 0
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
CHA
58%
26%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
GIM
1 - 1
GER
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
CUL
3 - 0
PON
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
AUR
1 - 0
CUL
25%
31%
44%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CUL
1 - 0
CEL
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
GRA
0 - 1
CUL
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
CUL
2 - 0
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |