SD Gernika vs CD Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
URD
1 - 2
GER
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GER
4 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
SES
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 1
GER
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
20%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CDV
1 - 2
RSO
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SES
0 - 0
CDV
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SNT
0 - 2
CDV
17%
25%
58%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDV
0 - 0
LON
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |