Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-1
SD Gernika vs CD Mungia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
GER
1 - 1
SDE
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BFC
1 - 1
GER
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
GER
1 - 0
CDM
66%
22%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
DEU
2 - 0
GER
59%
25%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
GER
2 - 0
CDE
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
DEU
1 - 0
CDM
62%
23%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CDM
1 - 0
CDE
69%
21%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
GER
1 - 0
CDM
66%
22%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CDM
1 - 2
AUR
49%
28%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TAL
2 - 1
CDM
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |