SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
38%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LOG
3 - 0
GER
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
BIN
35%
29%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
CLH
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GER
1 - 2
RUN
24%
30%
46%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
GER
3 - 2
PEÑ
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 2
NOJ
48%
28%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
TAL
1 - 2
AUR
51%
27%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GIM
37%
30%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RAC
0 - 1
AUR
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALA
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |