SD Gernika vs Real Sociedad C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GER
0 - 1
ATH
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 2
GER
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GER
5 - 0
ARI
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
GER
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 0
BFC
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
URD
3 - 2
RSO
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
0 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
4 - 4
RSO
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 1
GER
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |