SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CDV
1 - 0
GER
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
ATH
33%
28%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IZA
0 - 1
GER
26%
28%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 1
PEÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 0
GER
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
OSA
0 - 1
BAR
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 1
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
RSO
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |