SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
FUE
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GET
0 - 1
GER
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
UDS
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 1
BAR
18%
29%
54%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
1 - 1
BAR
29%
30%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
GET
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 4
BAR
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |