SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.3%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
GER
48%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
CAU
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PER
0 - 1
BAR
32%
31%
38%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOJ
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 1
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 14 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |