SD Gernika vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
ZAR
23%
29%
48%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
UBC
27%
29%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
AUR
32%
30%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NOJ
5 - 0
ATH
25%
27%
47%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
4 - 0
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 0
ATH
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATH
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |