SD Gernika vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 2
GER
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
GIM
31%
30%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 4
GER
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
GER
0 - 2
ROB
44%
29%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
AMU
1 - 0
GER
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 0
CEL
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ALA
0 - 1
ATH
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 1
ATH
35%
28%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |