SD Gernika vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
CLU
3 - 2
GER
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
GER
0 - 1
AMU
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ZAR
2 - 0
GER
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
GER
1 - 2
BEA
39%
30%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
IZA
1 - 1
GER
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
ATH
3 - 0
AND
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
BUR
3 - 2
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ATH
1 - 1
CUL
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ELG
1 - 2
ATH
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ATH
0 - 0
RUN
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |