SD Gernika vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
GER
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 1
GER
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 0
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 0
GER
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 5
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LON
1 - 1
ARI
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
TOL
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CDU
9 - 0
ARI
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |