Germinal de Rawson vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
27.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
29.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
3º
34
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GER
3 - 0
CDC
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 2
SDM
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 2
GER
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
RSA
23%
28%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
VIL
71%
20%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
VIL
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
BUC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |