Germinal de Rawson vs Sansinena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
3º
8
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
14%
28%
59%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GER
3 - 0
CDC
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 2
SDM
44%
28%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 2
GER
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CIP
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIN
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |