Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
3º
36
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 0
GER
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GER
3 - 0
CSS
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
GER
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
GER
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
RSA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
VIL
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
OLI
18%
26%
57%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
CDC
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 2
OLI
11%
23%
66%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
CIP
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |