Germinal de Rawson vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
3º
22
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 1
CIP
47%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
GER
76%
17%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
VIL
24%
30%
46%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
RSA
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSA
4 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
CIP
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |