Germinal de Rawson vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
7º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GER
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 1
CDC
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
GER
76%
17%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 0
CIP
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 0
LIN
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
RSA
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |