Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
2º
18
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 38 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 34 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 34 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 25 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 22 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 21 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 19 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 15 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 2
SDM
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 2
GER
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
RSA
23%
28%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GER
77%
17%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
LIN
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
CDC
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 4
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
CDC
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
CDC
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |