Germania Teveren vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
15º
15º
0
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 6
GET
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GET
0 - 7
AAA
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SFD
5 - 2
GET
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GWB
0 - 5
GET
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GET
4 - 0
SFD
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
KON
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 3
SCF
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 5
VFL
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
BGP
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |