Germania Ratingen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NET
0 - 3
GRA
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
5 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 6
GRA
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
DUS
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 2
SWE
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SFB
2 - 1
VFB
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VFB
5 - 0
JDH
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NET
1 - 1
VFB
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
5 - 0
VEL
81%
12%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |