Germania Ratingen vs SF Niederwenigern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
7º
15
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
FCB
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
GRA
36%
23%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
TDV
3 - 4
GRA
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
VFB
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
4 - 2
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 0
SFN
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 0
HIL
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 0
SON
20%
23%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 2
SFN
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
3 - 1
NET
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +3 |