Germania Ober-Roden vs Schwalmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Ober-Roden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GOR
3 - 3
FSV
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GOR
4 - 1
BRA
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
GOR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Schwalmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SWM
0 - 5
MAR
15%
21%
65%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
SWM
0 - 0
WAL
16%
22%
62%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FSV
3 - 1
SWM
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |