Germania Leer vs Wilhelmshaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Leer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
GEL
2 - 0
LIN
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LAN
2 - 1
GEL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
HAV
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AHA
0 - 2
GEL
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GEL
3 - 2
HEE
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wilhelmshaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 0
LAN
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HAV
3 - 1
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 1
AHA
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 1
VFL
15%
22%
63%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 0
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |