Germania Leer vs Bavenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Leer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 4
GEL
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 2
BAV
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 2
PEW
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ENO
5 - 2
GEL
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEL
4 - 4
PRH
47%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ENO
2 - 4
BAV
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 2
BAV
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 2
PRH
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
BAV
25%
24%
52%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
BAV
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |