Germania Halberstadt vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Halberstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CZJ
1 - 1
GER
80%
13%
6%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GER
2 - 2
POS
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
ZWI
2 - 0
GER
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
DRE
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 1
AUE
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
POS
1 - 1
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 1
ZWI
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DRE
2 - 0
ERF
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 2
MAG
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -2 |