Germania Halberstadt vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
13º
4º
10
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 79% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Halberstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
GER
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GER
3 - 1
BUD
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 0
GER
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -3 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GER
3 - 3
EIN
67%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 0
LFC
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
AUE
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
3 - 1
EWD
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUE
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 5
MEU
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |