Germania Halberstadt vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Halberstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
ZWI
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
POS
4 - 2
GER
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
3 - 1
GER
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GER
0 - 0
MAG
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 0
GER
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 3
CZJ
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AUE
0 - 1
POS
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 1
AUE
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 1
DRE
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
AUE
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |