Germania Erftstadt vs SF Troisdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
HIL
1 - 6
GER
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 0
GER
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
SCB
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AAA
5 - 0
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
SF Troisdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 0
NIE
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AAA
2 - 0
TRO
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 2
MER
16%
20%
63%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BFR
2 - 3
TRO
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 6
H05
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | -1 |