Germania Erftstadt vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
HEW
75%
14%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 5
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
SVR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SFD
1 - 2
GER
9%
16%
76%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
HBE
15%
19%
67%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 6
DUR
25%
21%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SVR
0 - 1
NIE
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
SFD
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 3
BGP
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
NIE
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |