Germania Erftstadt vs Hilal Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BGP
3 - 1
GER
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GER
5 - 1
ALE
67%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SCB
1 - 0
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GER
2 - 3
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
IHN
4 - 0
GER
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hilal Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
6 - 2
DUR
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SVR
1 - 4
HBE
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
3 - 1
SFD
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HBE
5 - 0
HEW
76%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BGP
0 - 1
HBE
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |