Germania Erftstadt vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SVR
1 - 2
GER
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
SFD
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HBE
4 - 1
GER
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
BGP
42%
22%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
GER
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
HEW
1 - 3
DUR
32%
22%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
1 - 2
SVR
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFD
3 - 0
DUR
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 5
HBE
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BGP
1 - 0
DUR
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |