Germania Erftstadt vs Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GER
0 - 4
EUR
21%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
BFR
4 - 1
GER
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCB
1 - 0
GER
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
WEG
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SCB
2 - 0
BER
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 1
ALT
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | +5 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HEW
2 - 2
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
0 - 4
BFR
11%
17%
73%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
VIA
7 - 0
BER
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |