Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Red Star Penzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
13º
12º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STA
3 - 0
GER
67%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
WIE
40%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
GER
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
BAC
16%
24%
60%
|
16 | 71 | 55 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
GER
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
AUS
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
RED
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
SIM
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
RED
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
RED
5 - 0
KAG
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |