Geraldine vs Otago University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geraldine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
GER
0 - 3
QUE
11%
15%
75%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
GER
5 - 3
OBA
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
WNK
3 - 2
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROW
1 - 0
OTU
31%
21%
49%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 4
OTU
17%
17%
66%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
OTU
0 - 4
GIA
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WNK
3 - 3
OTU
23%
19%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 3
OTU
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |