Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
GEO
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SUI
5 - 0
GEO
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
GEO
0 - 1
SUI
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
GEO
82%
14%
5%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
GEO
2 - 7
ESP
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
SUI
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
4 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 2
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
4 - 0
CRO
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |