Georgia U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
GEO
2 - 0
MNE
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LVA
0 - 1
GEO
27%
21%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SWE
4 - 0
GEO
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GEO
0 - 2
FIN
57%
22%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GEO
0 - 1
BGR
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
LVA
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
MNE
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
TUR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |