Georgetown vs Creighton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STJ
0 - 1
GTH
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GTH
5 - 1
UCH
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
GTH
3 - 0
PFR
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STH
1 - 1
GTH
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GTH
3 - 2
VLV
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Creighton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BUB
3 - 2
CTU
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CTU
4 - 3
DBD
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
XMK
0 - 3
CTU
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CTU
1 - 2
MQU
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CTU
4 - 2
BUB
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |