Gênus vs União Cacoalense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 3
VIL
15%
18%
68%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRO
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 1
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
União Cacoalense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
CAC
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAC
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
RDA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |